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Red110
84635.9
191424.8
31643.1
Blue115
570510.5
667232.4
255735.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11882050100150200110115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#31
43.10.5
38.037.5
Auto10.3
Teleop20.4
End12.3
red by 7.5
2557
#29
35.61.4
37.538.9
Auto9.5
Teleop16.2
End9.9
Second
846
#62
35.90.5
36.135.5
Auto10.0
Teleop17.8
End8.0
red by 3.5
6672
#50
32.41.4
36.938.3
Auto8.0
Teleop17.5
End6.8
Third
1914
#75
24.80.5
31.831.3
Auto7.6
Teleop12.7
End4.5
red by 14.3
5705
#56
10.51.6
7.49.0
Auto2.6
Teleop5.4
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned86%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsEarned55%Hangar oddsEarned