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Red131
173132.1
191836.7
11850.9
Blue165
259043.7
177156.7
25467.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11918750100150200250131165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#7
50.90.7
52.453.1
Auto9.8
Teleop29.2
End11.8
blue by 16.4
254
#4
67.30.4
67.366.9
Auto14.4
Teleop37.6
End15.3
Second
1918
#53
36.70.7
38.038.7
Auto7.3
Teleop16.6
End12.8
blue by 20.1
56.70.4
57.056.6
Auto15.3
Teleop36.1
End5.3
Third
1731
#69
32.10.7
29.730.4
Auto8.7
Teleop14.4
End9.0
blue by 11.6
2590
#11
43.70.4
42.842.4
Auto9.5
Teleop21.4
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned100%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
98%Hangar oddsEarned98%Hangar oddsEarned