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Red134
173246.3
754130.0
150642.3
Blue116
397030.3
438134.2
317537.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114117050150200250300134116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.31.2
42.043.2
Auto12.4
Teleop26.6
End7.4
red by 9.3
3175
#32
37.00.4
37.638.0
Auto10.1
Teleop21.9
End5.0
Second
1506
#33
42.31.2
35.736.9
Auto11.9
Teleop22.9
End7.5
red by 8.1
4381
#25
34.20.4
38.138.5
Auto9.7
Teleop17.8
End6.7
Third
7541
#39
30.01.2
30.031.3
Auto8.4
Teleop11.3
End10.3
blue by 0.3
3970
#54
30.30.4
33.834.3
Auto7.1
Teleop17.2
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
91%Hangar oddsEarned81%Hangar oddsEarned