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Red99
268741.4
296037.0
347648.3
Blue103
350418.2
478633.1
432933.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1337005010015020099103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.31.2
50.249.0
Auto13.0
Teleop25.2
End10.0
red by 15.2
4786
#24
33.11.9
28.130.0
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End12.8
Second
2687
#10
41.41.2
32.631.4
Auto8.9
Teleop20.9
End11.6
red by 8.5
4329
#28
33.01.9
29.331.3
Auto8.6
Teleop19.9
End4.5
Third
2960
#23
37.01.2
34.333.0
Auto8.5
Teleop19.0
End9.4
red by 18.8
3504
#55
18.21.9
16.518.4
Auto6.4
Teleop6.0
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned84%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
90%Hangar oddsEarned74%Hangar oddsEarned