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Red88
393740.2
214740.2
81539.4
Blue69
542219.2
561215.7
325627.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97600501502008869

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.20.2
37.137.0
Auto9.2
Teleop21.9
End9.1
red by 12.7
3256
#47
27.50.5
23.123.6
Auto6.9
Teleop13.9
End6.6
Second
2147
#17
40.20.2
39.639.4
Auto8.4
Teleop24.9
End6.8
red by 21.0
5422
#70
19.20.5
18.819.4
Auto5.2
Teleop5.3
End8.7
Third
8153
#72
9.40.2
9.79.5
Auto4.8
Teleop0.8
End3.9
blue by 6.3
5612
#46
15.70.5
19.019.5
Auto5.3
Teleop5.1
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
84%Cargo oddsEarned40%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
83%Hangar oddsEarned79%Hangar oddsEarned