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Red8
88988.1
316615.7
854613.1
Blue125
186821.3
31643.1
161953.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions241320501001502002508125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3166
#71
15.71.9
14.913.0
Auto4.4
Teleop7.4
End3.9
blue by 37.6
53.31.0
52.353.3
Auto12.7
Teleop27.9
End12.7
Second
8546
#68
13.11.9
8.46.5
Auto4.0
Teleop5.6
End3.5
blue by 30.0
316
#31
43.11.0
37.538.5
Auto10.3
Teleop20.4
End12.3
Third
8898
#76
8.11.9
12.810.9
Auto4.1
Teleop3.9
End0.1
blue by 13.2
1868
#40
21.31.0
20.321.3
Auto7.5
Teleop8.3
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
13%Cargo oddsMissed94%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsMissed80%Hangar oddsEarned