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Red85
258639.3
667232.4
181625.9
Blue69
243822.4
413521.8
174516.6
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1124701001502008569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.31.0
36.635.6
Auto8.4
Teleop18.6
End12.4
red by 16.9
2438
#58
22.41.1
20.321.5
Auto5.0
Teleop6.7
End10.7
Second
6672
#50
32.41.0
38.337.3
Auto8.0
Teleop17.5
End6.8
red by 10.6
4135
#37
21.81.1
17.919.0
Auto7.8
Teleop9.8
End4.2
Third
1816
#22
25.91.0
21.620.5
Auto8.2
Teleop9.3
End8.5
red by 9.3
1745
#74
16.61.1
13.915.1
Auto5.5
Teleop3.4
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
86%Cargo oddsEarned27%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
93%Hangar oddsMissed64%Hangar oddsEarned