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Red78
341431.0
40129.6
255619.7
Blue150
11850.9
250623.2
173246.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8612705010015020078150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3414
#64
31.00.8
32.031.2
Auto7.9
Teleop17.7
End5.3
blue by 19.9
118
#7
50.92.4
53.155.6
Auto9.8
Teleop29.2
End11.8
Second
401
#45
29.60.8
30.629.8
Auto10.3
Teleop14.0
End5.4
blue by 16.7
46.32.4
43.245.6
Auto12.4
Teleop26.6
End7.4
Third
2556
#60
19.70.8
23.022.3
Auto6.1
Teleop5.6
End8.0
blue by 3.5
2506
#65
23.22.4
17.319.7
Auto6.4
Teleop8.1
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
74%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
65%Hangar oddsMissed97%Hangar oddsEarned