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Red100
317537.0
147735.4
186821.3
Blue78
258639.3
345921.0
173132.1
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1018720406012014016010078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3175
#32
37.00.2
38.038.3
Auto10.1
Teleop21.9
End5.0
blue by 2.3
39.30.6
35.635.0
Auto8.4
Teleop18.6
End12.4
Second
1477
#18
35.40.2
33.233.5
Auto10.4
Teleop16.8
End8.2
red by 3.4
1731
#69
32.10.6
30.029.4
Auto8.7
Teleop14.4
End9.0
Third
1868
#40
21.30.2
21.321.5
Auto7.5
Teleop8.3
End5.5
red by 0.3
3459
#48
21.00.6
17.516.9
Auto5.6
Teleop6.8
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
88%Cargo oddsEarned71%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
80%Hangar oddsEarned84%Hangar oddsEarned