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Red120
162929.8
511442.3
295929.8
Blue81
561215.7
8843.3
243822.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1178205010015020012081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5114
#44
42.31.0
45.146.1
Auto14.3
Teleop19.7
End8.3
blue by 1.0
88
#27
43.30.3
40.139.8
Auto11.4
Teleop22.1
End9.7
Second
2959
#19
29.81.0
28.429.4
Auto6.5
Teleop14.2
End9.2
red by 7.5
2438
#58
22.40.3
21.521.2
Auto5.0
Teleop6.7
End10.7
Third
1629
#34
29.81.0
31.732.7
Auto9.6
Teleop9.7
End10.5
red by 14.0
5612
#46
15.70.3
19.519.2
Auto5.3
Teleop5.1
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned39%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
96%Hangar oddsEarned94%Hangar oddsEarned