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Red92
570510.5
175645.1
438134.2
Blue75
580920.1
854613.1
263829.2
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108320501509275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1756
#26
45.10.3
44.444.2
Auto10.2
Teleop25.7
End9.2
red by 15.9
2638
#57
29.21.6
22.824.4
Auto6.9
Teleop12.3
End10.0
Second
4381
#25
34.20.3
38.538.2
Auto9.7
Teleop17.8
End6.7
red by 14.1
5809
#63
20.11.6
10.311.8
Auto6.0
Teleop10.7
End3.4
Third
5705
#56
10.50.3
8.88.6
Auto2.6
Teleop5.4
End2.5
blue by 2.6
8546
#68
13.11.6
6.58.1
Auto4.0
Teleop5.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned49%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
52%Hangar oddsEarned19%Hangar oddsEarned