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Red103
859017.9
174516.6
884129.4
Blue126
150642.3
31643.1
102344.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions411380100150200103126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8841
#42
29.42.7
22.825.5
Auto9.1
Teleop12.3
End8.1
blue by 15.2
1023
#41
44.60.1
41.741.8
Auto8.3
Teleop33.5
End2.7
Second
8590
#35
17.92.7
12.615.3
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End4.7
blue by 25.2
316
#31
43.10.1
38.538.5
Auto10.3
Teleop20.4
End12.3
Third
1745
#74
16.62.7
15.117.8
Auto5.5
Teleop3.4
End7.6
blue by 25.7
1506
#33
42.30.1
36.937.0
Auto11.9
Teleop22.9
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
50%Hangar oddsEarned86%Hangar oddsMissed