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Red127
181625.9
69449.7
216843.2
Blue80
667232.4
182824.0
572422.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125845010015020012780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#3
49.70.7
48.249.0
Auto14.8
Teleop25.9
End9.1
red by 17.3
6672
#50
32.41.1
37.336.2
Auto8.0
Teleop17.5
End6.8
Second
2168
#12
43.20.7
43.243.9
Auto10.1
Teleop23.4
End9.6
red by 19.1
1828
#51
24.01.1
18.417.4
Auto7.2
Teleop11.0
End5.8
Third
1816
#22
25.90.7
20.521.3
Auto8.2
Teleop9.3
End8.5
red by 3.2
5724
#61
22.71.1
28.727.6
Auto7.1
Teleop11.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsEarned89%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
95%Hangar oddsEarned66%Hangar oddsEarned