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Red102
186821.3
40129.6
350418.2
Blue65
508631.5
243822.4
857318.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77724050609010011010265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#45
29.61.7
29.831.6
Auto10.3
Teleop14.0
End5.4
blue by 1.9
5086
#36
31.50.2
30.330.0
Auto7.9
Teleop14.0
End9.6
Second
1868
#40
21.31.7
21.523.3
Auto7.5
Teleop8.3
End5.5
blue by 1.0
2438
#58
22.40.2
21.220.9
Auto5.0
Teleop6.7
End10.7
Third
3504
#55
18.21.7
20.622.3
Auto6.4
Teleop6.0
End5.8
blue by 0.4
8573
#73
18.50.2
17.216.9
Auto8.1
Teleop5.8
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
66%Cargo oddsEarned45%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
49%Hangar oddsEarned94%Hangar oddsEarned