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Red30
812218.4
561215.7
508924.0
Blue85
36448.6
590322.0
413521.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68960501502002503085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5089
#49
24.03.0
26.623.6
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End7.5
blue by 24.6
364
#21
48.60.1
48.848.7
Auto14.2
Teleop23.2
End11.2
Second
8122
#59
18.43.0
21.318.3
Auto6.6
Teleop7.8
End4.0
blue by 3.6
5903
#30
22.00.1
18.818.7
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End8.5
Third
5612
#46
15.73.0
19.216.2
Auto5.3
Teleop5.1
End5.3
blue by 6.0
4135
#37
21.80.1
19.018.9
Auto7.8
Teleop9.8
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
35%Cargo oddsMissed92%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsMissed69%Hangar oddsEarned