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Red78
191836.7
350418.2
85728.6
Blue107
884129.4
812218.4
441543.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8887708010011078107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
#53
36.70.3
36.936.6
Auto7.3
Teleop16.6
End12.8
blue by 7.2
4415
#14
43.81.6
45.346.9
Auto12.6
Teleop19.9
End11.4
Second
857
#43
28.60.3
26.726.4
Auto7.6
Teleop9.6
End11.5
blue by 0.8
8841
#42
29.41.6
19.721.3
Auto9.1
Teleop12.3
End8.1
Third
3504
#55
18.20.3
18.718.4
Auto6.4
Teleop6.0
End5.8
blue by 0.2
8122
#59
18.41.6
17.519.2
Auto6.6
Teleop7.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
89%Cargo oddsMissed78%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
94%Hangar oddsEarned70%Hangar oddsEarned