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Red95
31643.1
181625.9
40129.6
Blue135
297444.5
25467.3
258639.3
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions821685010015020025095135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
316
#31
43.10.5
37.638.0
Auto10.3
Teleop20.4
End12.3
blue by 24.2
254
#4
67.30.8
67.766.9
Auto14.4
Teleop37.6
End15.3
Second
401
#45
29.60.5
29.429.9
Auto10.3
Teleop14.0
End5.4
blue by 14.8
2974
#13
44.50.8
43.442.7
Auto9.8
Teleop30.2
End4.5
Third
1816
#22
25.90.5
21.121.5
Auto8.2
Teleop9.3
End8.5
blue by 13.4
39.30.8
35.434.6
Auto8.4
Teleop18.6
End12.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
60%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
93%Hangar oddsMissed90%Hangar oddsEarned