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Red77
214740.2
508924.0
186821.3
Blue101
181625.9
259043.7
297444.5
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9011605010015020077101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2147
#17
40.21.0
40.939.9
Auto8.4
Teleop24.9
End6.8
blue by 4.3
2974
#13
44.50.3
42.542.2
Auto9.8
Teleop30.2
End4.5
Second
5089
#49
24.01.0
23.622.6
Auto6.5
Teleop10.0
End7.5
blue by 19.7
2590
#11
43.70.3
41.541.2
Auto9.5
Teleop21.4
End12.8
Third
1868
#40
21.31.0
23.322.3
Auto7.5
Teleop8.3
End5.5
blue by 4.6
1816
#22
25.90.3
21.321.0
Auto8.2
Teleop9.3
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
79%Cargo oddsEarned92%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsMissed84%Hangar oddsEarned