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Red78
40129.6
397030.3
854613.1
Blue88
812218.4
413521.8
84635.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7978506070901001107888

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3970
#54
30.30.2
32.932.6
Auto7.1
Teleop17.2
End6.0
blue by 5.6
846
#62
35.90.6
37.237.9
Auto10.0
Teleop17.8
End8.0
Second
401
#45
29.60.2
31.631.3
Auto10.3
Teleop14.0
End5.4
red by 7.9
4135
#37
21.80.6
18.919.6
Auto7.8
Teleop9.8
End4.2
Third
8546
#68
13.10.2
9.08.7
Auto4.0
Teleop5.6
End3.5
blue by 5.3
8122
#59
18.40.6
18.318.9
Auto6.6
Teleop7.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
86%Cargo oddsEarned85%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
48%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsEarned