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Red107
59915.3
214740.2
8843.3
Blue131
347648.3
11850.9
69449.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9217750150200250107131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#27
43.30.4
41.041.4
Auto11.4
Teleop22.1
End9.7
blue by 7.6
118
#7
50.91.6
56.855.1
Auto9.8
Teleop29.2
End11.8
Second
2147
#17
40.20.4
39.940.3
Auto8.4
Teleop24.9
End6.8
blue by 9.5
694
#3
49.71.6
51.650.0
Auto14.8
Teleop25.9
End9.1
Third
599
#52
15.30.4
16.216.6
Auto4.6
Teleop5.6
End5.2
blue by 33.0
48.31.6
47.145.4
Auto13.0
Teleop25.2
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsEarned100%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
76%Hangar oddsEarned99%Hangar oddsEarned