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Red84
250623.2
667232.4
174516.6
Blue106
511442.3
350418.2
859017.9
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions769405015084106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6672
#50
32.40.4
36.536.9
Auto8.0
Teleop17.5
End6.8
blue by 9.9
5114
#44
42.30.5
47.046.5
Auto14.3
Teleop19.7
End8.3
Second
2506
#65
23.20.4
20.320.7
Auto6.4
Teleop8.1
End8.7
red by 5.0
3504
#55
18.20.5
22.321.8
Auto6.4
Teleop6.0
End5.8
Third
1745
#74
16.60.4
16.917.3
Auto5.5
Teleop3.4
End7.6
blue by 1.3
8590
#35
17.90.5
16.816.2
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
58%Cargo oddsEarned86%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
93%Hangar oddsEarned72%Hangar oddsEarned