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Red132
31643.1
173246.3
162929.8
Blue91
173132.1
441543.8
147735.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1261205010015020013291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.30.4
45.846.2
Auto12.4
Teleop26.6
End7.4
red by 2.5
4415
#14
43.81.7
47.746.0
Auto12.6
Teleop19.9
End11.4
Second
316
#31
43.10.4
39.840.2
Auto10.3
Teleop20.4
End12.3
red by 7.7
1477
#18
35.41.7
33.932.2
Auto10.4
Teleop16.8
End8.2
Third
1629
#34
29.80.4
31.832.3
Auto9.6
Teleop9.7
End10.5
blue by 2.3
1731
#69
32.11.7
31.429.7
Auto8.7
Teleop14.4
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsEarned94%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
96%Hangar oddsEarned96%Hangar oddsEarned