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Red112
296037.0
297444.5
260133.9
Blue95
174516.6
8627.0
393740.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1188305010015020011295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#13
44.50.1
42.242.3
Auto9.8
Teleop30.2
End4.5
red by 4.3
40.20.5
40.140.6
Auto9.2
Teleop21.9
End9.1
Second
2960
#23
37.00.1
35.535.6
Auto8.5
Teleop19.0
End9.4
red by 10.0
86
#38
27.00.5
25.425.9
Auto6.5
Teleop10.2
End10.3
Third
2601
#16
33.90.1
28.929.0
Auto9.0
Teleop13.5
End11.4
red by 17.2
1745
#74
16.60.5
17.317.9
Auto5.5
Teleop3.4
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsEarned73%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
76%Hangar oddsEarned95%Hangar oddsEarned