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Red149
295929.8
161953.3
173246.3
Blue103
859017.9
191836.7
214740.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1479150100200149103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.31.2
54.956.1
Auto12.7
Teleop27.9
End12.7
red by 13.2
2147
#17
40.20.4
40.340.8
Auto8.4
Teleop24.9
End6.8
Second
46.31.2
46.247.4
Auto12.4
Teleop26.6
End7.4
red by 9.7
1918
#53
36.70.4
35.836.2
Auto7.3
Teleop16.6
End12.8
Third
2959
#19
29.81.2
29.831.0
Auto6.5
Teleop14.2
End9.2
red by 11.9
8590
#35
17.90.4
16.216.7
Auto5.0
Teleop8.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned92%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsEarned82%Hangar oddsEarned