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Red131
441543.8
250623.2
36448.6
Blue109
542219.2
173132.1
150642.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1318950100150200131109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
364
#21
48.60.9
50.751.6
Auto14.2
Teleop23.2
End11.2
red by 6.3
1506
#33
42.31.1
40.841.9
Auto11.9
Teleop22.9
End7.5
Second
4415
#14
43.80.9
46.046.9
Auto12.6
Teleop19.9
End11.4
red by 11.7
1731
#69
32.11.1
29.730.7
Auto8.7
Teleop14.4
End9.0
Third
2506
#65
23.20.9
20.721.6
Auto6.4
Teleop8.1
End8.7
red by 4.0
5422
#70
19.21.1
18.719.8
Auto5.2
Teleop5.3
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned83%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
98%Hangar oddsEarned80%Hangar oddsEarned