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Red67
854613.1
85728.6
181625.9
Blue120
511442.3
11850.9
191424.8
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51155010020025067120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
857
#43
28.60.1
29.129.2
Auto7.6
Teleop9.6
End11.5
blue by 22.2
118
#7
50.91.1
55.154.0
Auto9.8
Teleop29.2
End11.8
Second
1816
#22
25.90.1
23.423.5
Auto8.2
Teleop9.3
End8.5
blue by 16.4
5114
#44
42.31.1
46.545.4
Auto14.3
Teleop19.7
End8.3
Third
8546
#68
13.10.1
8.78.9
Auto4.0
Teleop5.6
End3.5
blue by 11.7
1914
#75
24.81.1
30.929.8
Auto7.6
Teleop12.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
32%Cargo oddsMissed100%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsEarned98%Hangar oddsEarned