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Red134
347648.3
561215.7
102344.6
Blue120
147735.4
754130.0
248149.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110122406080100140160180134120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.31.7
45.447.1
Auto13.0
Teleop25.2
End10.0
blue by 0.9
2481
#15
49.20.1
52.051.9
Auto10.1
Teleop26.5
End12.6
Second
1023
#41
44.61.7
42.744.3
Auto8.3
Teleop33.5
End2.7
red by 9.1
1477
#18
35.40.1
32.232.1
Auto10.4
Teleop16.8
End8.2
Third
5612
#46
15.71.7
16.718.4
Auto5.3
Teleop5.1
End5.3
blue by 14.2
7541
#39
30.00.1
28.828.8
Auto8.4
Teleop11.3
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
98%Cargo oddsEarned96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsEarned89%Hangar oddsEarned