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Red89
259043.7
162929.8
812218.4
Blue92
438134.2
572422.7
478633.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions981010501502008992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2590
#11
43.70.5
41.240.7
Auto9.5
Teleop21.4
End12.8
red by 9.6
4381
#25
34.20.2
40.240.0
Auto9.7
Teleop17.8
End6.7
Second
1629
#34
29.80.5
32.331.8
Auto9.6
Teleop9.7
End10.5
blue by 3.3
4786
#24
33.10.2
28.928.8
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End12.8
Third
8122
#59
18.40.5
18.918.4
Auto6.6
Teleop7.8
End4.0
blue by 4.3
5724
#61
22.70.2
25.725.5
Auto7.1
Teleop11.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
76%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
92%Hangar oddsEarned85%Hangar oddsEarned