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Red115
364137.8
854613.1
432933.0
Blue113
102344.6
260133.9
162929.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78117050100150115113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3641
#20
37.81.9
35.437.3
Auto11.0
Teleop18.9
End7.9
blue by 6.8
1023
#41
44.60.3
44.344.6
Auto8.3
Teleop33.5
End2.7
Second
4329
#28
33.01.9
34.136.0
Auto8.6
Teleop19.9
End4.5
blue by 0.9
2601
#16
33.90.3
29.029.3
Auto9.0
Teleop13.5
End11.4
Third
8546
#68
13.11.9
8.910.8
Auto4.0
Teleop5.6
End3.5
blue by 16.7
1629
#34
29.80.3
31.832.0
Auto9.6
Teleop9.7
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
87%Cargo oddsEarned92%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
41%Hangar oddsEarned88%Hangar oddsEarned