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Red40
438134.2
49827.5
350418.2
Blue105
214740.2
181625.9
147735.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9710405015020025030040105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4381
#25
34.23.7
40.036.3
Auto9.7
Teleop17.8
End6.7
blue by 6.0
2147
#17
40.20.3
40.841.1
Auto8.4
Teleop24.9
End6.8
Second
498
#66
27.53.7
28.424.7
Auto4.6
Teleop14.9
End7.9
blue by 7.9
1477
#18
35.40.3
32.132.4
Auto10.4
Teleop16.8
End8.2
Third
3504
#55
18.23.7
23.219.5
Auto6.4
Teleop6.0
End5.8
blue by 7.7
1816
#22
25.90.3
23.523.8
Auto8.2
Teleop9.3
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsMissed89%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
86%Hangar oddsMissed90%Hangar oddsEarned