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Quarterfinal 2-22022 Hawaii Regional
Red75
427021.9
243822.2
772413.8
Blue56
246522.9
861511.0
690910.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions624420801007556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2438
#6
22.20.3
21.5→21.8
Auto4.3
Teleop5.1
End12.7
blue by 0.8
2465
#10
22.90.3
22.7→22.9
Auto6.8
Teleop11.7
End4.5
Second
4270
#9
21.90.3
21.2→21.6
Auto3.8
Teleop7.7
End10.4
red by 10.9
8615
#8
11.00.3
10.8→11.0
Auto1.4
Teleop3.5
End6.1
Third
7724
#15
13.80.3
13.1→13.4
Auto3.1
Teleop8.6
End2.1
red by 3.0
6909
#16
10.80.3
10.6→10.8
Auto4.6
Teleop4.1
End2.1