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Red70
477438.6
244330.5
887111.8
Blue85
388227.5
372128.8
20909.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86664060801001201407085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.60.2
37.837.6
Auto14.1
Teleop21.4
End3.2
red by 9.8
28.80.5
28.428.9
Auto5.7
Teleop13.8
End9.4
Second
30.50.2
29.729.5
Auto7.3
Teleop9.8
End13.3
red by 3.0
27.50.5
27.127.5
Auto6.9
Teleop13.0
End7.7
Third
8871
#22
11.80.2
11.010.8
Auto5.5
Teleop2.4
End3.8
red by 2.6
2090
#21
9.20.5
8.79.2
Auto2.8
Teleop1.7
End4.7