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Red116
642424.9
297633.9
220242.9
Blue98
1125.5
133949.0
379411.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1098505015020011698

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2202
#40
42.90.8
42.142.9
Auto10.1
Teleop25.1
End7.7
blue by 6.0
49.01.0
47.648.7
Auto13.5
Teleop23.8
End11.6
Second
2976
#15
33.90.8
33.334.1
Auto11.1
Teleop17.2
End5.6
red by 8.4
11
#55
25.51.0
24.525.5
Auto6.3
Teleop11.0
End8.2
Third
6424
#34
24.90.8
24.024.9
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End4.4
red by 13.5
3794
#68
11.41.0
10.311.4
Auto2.5
Teleop6.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned74%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsEarned60%Hangar oddsEarned