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Red49
873915.7
803712.5
420146.4
Blue110
442128.9
62455.8
870115.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8610805015020025049110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#45
46.42.8
49.546.7
Auto13.5
Teleop26.9
End6.0
blue by 9.3
624
#4
55.80.8
55.856.6
Auto12.9
Teleop33.6
End9.3
Second
8739
#75
15.72.8
18.515.7
Auto3.4
Teleop10.4
End1.9
blue by 13.2
4421
#60
28.90.8
28.329.1
Auto8.5
Teleop9.1
End11.4
Third
8037
#74
12.52.8
15.312.5
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End3.7
blue by 2.5
8701
#38
15.00.8
14.215.0
Auto3.5
Teleop5.0
End6.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
81%Cargo oddsMissed85%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
48%Hangar oddsMissed98%Hangar oddsEarned