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Red100
297633.9
205247.0
870115.0
Blue90
500611.2
406334.9
30242.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1028205015020010090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2052
#14
47.00.5
44.745.1
Auto11.6
Teleop23.5
End11.9
red by 5.0
302
#22
42.00.2
33.733.9
Auto8.5
Teleop24.5
End9.0
Second
2976
#15
33.90.5
33.433.8
Auto11.1
Teleop17.2
End5.6
blue by 0.9
4063
#35
34.90.2
34.134.3
Auto8.5
Teleop21.3
End5.1
Third
8701
#38
15.00.5
15.115.6
Auto3.5
Teleop5.0
End6.5
red by 3.8
5006
#58
11.20.2
11.311.5
Auto4.5
Teleop2.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsEarned76%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
85%Hangar oddsEarned51%Hangar oddsEarned