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Red137
379411.4
170651.5
332234.7
Blue64
421333.8
874518.5
731510.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9265020408010012014016013764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.52.8
44.146.9
Auto12.3
Teleop32.7
End6.5
red by 17.6
4213
#24
33.80.3
32.332.0
Auto6.2
Teleop15.6
End12.0
Second
3322
#13
34.72.8
32.935.7
Auto9.5
Teleop18.6
End6.6
red by 16.1
8745
#66
18.50.3
20.220.0
Auto6.7
Teleop8.0
End3.8
Third
3794
#68
11.43.1
5.78.8
Auto2.5
Teleop6.3
End2.5
red by 1.3
7315
#62
10.10.3
11.511.2
Auto3.4
Teleop4.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
89%Cargo oddsEarned70%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsEarned35%Hangar oddsEarned