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Red114
261444.0
550533.3
449950.0
Blue102
442128.9
276751.3
59729.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12310850150200114102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.00.0
40.940.9
Auto9.0
Teleop30.4
End10.6
blue by 1.4
2767
#11
51.30.1
50.250.1
Auto14.4
Teleop24.1
End12.9
Second
2614
#12
44.00.0
41.141.2
Auto9.4
Teleop23.4
End11.2
red by 14.9
597
#59
29.00.1
24.724.6
Auto8.6
Teleop14.8
End5.6
Third
5505
#28
33.30.0
31.631.6
Auto7.5
Teleop13.2
End12.6
red by 4.4
4421
#60
28.90.1
28.128.0
Auto8.5
Teleop9.1
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned86%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
92%Hangar oddsEarned95%Hangar oddsEarned