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Red102
857524.1
17737.4
52535.1
Blue108
297633.9
761733.3
452244.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94118050150200250102108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#33
37.40.7
36.236.9
Auto8.8
Teleop18.9
End9.8
blue by 7.0
4522
#20
44.40.0
44.044.1
Auto11.2
Teleop19.6
End13.6
Second
525
#29
35.10.7
33.233.9
Auto7.6
Teleop17.3
End10.1
red by 1.2
2976
#15
33.90.0
33.833.9
Auto11.1
Teleop17.2
End5.6
Third
8575
#48
24.10.7
21.722.5
Auto6.8
Teleop13.6
End3.8
blue by 9.2
7617
#49
33.30.0
29.529.5
Auto6.6
Teleop20.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
91%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
51%Hangar oddsEarned95%Hangar oddsEarned