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Red107
815914.4
406334.9
332234.7
Blue81
299244.7
613522.1
702130.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions831175010015020010781

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4063
#35
34.91.7
37.339.0
Auto8.5
Teleop21.3
End5.1
blue by 9.9
2992
#18
44.71.9
46.644.7
Auto11.0
Teleop23.9
End9.7
Second
3322
#13
34.71.7
36.438.1
Auto9.5
Teleop18.6
End6.6
red by 3.8
7021
#42
30.81.9
38.536.6
Auto10.2
Teleop15.1
End5.5
Third
8159
#53
14.41.7
8.410.1
Auto5.6
Teleop4.5
End4.4
blue by 7.7
6135
#70
22.11.9
20.318.4
Auto6.6
Teleop13.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
82%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsEarned67%Hangar oddsMissed