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Red77
784822.8
870115.0
283230.7
Blue57
220242.9
731510.1
580611.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6968506080907757

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#23
30.70.3
29.930.2
Auto8.7
Teleop16.6
End5.4
blue by 12.2
2202
#40
42.90.5
46.746.2
Auto10.1
Teleop25.1
End7.7
Second
7848
#61
22.80.3
18.418.8
Auto7.3
Teleop10.6
End4.9
red by 11.6
5806
#73
11.20.5
6.86.3
Auto4.8
Teleop2.3
End4.1
Third
8701
#38
15.00.3
15.615.9
Auto3.5
Teleop5.0
End6.5
red by 4.9
7315
#62
10.10.5
11.210.7
Auto3.4
Teleop4.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
44%Cargo oddsEarned81%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
64%Hangar oddsEarned30%Hangar oddsEarned