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Red136
180736.3
420146.4
49448.7
Blue149
167872.7
882212.8
312829.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14110350150200136149

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#9
48.70.0
45.545.5
Auto11.4
Teleop24.0
End13.4
blue by 24.0
72.72.9
70.773.6
Auto16.8
Teleop43.0
End12.9
Second
4201
#45
46.40.0
41.641.6
Auto13.5
Teleop26.9
End6.0
red by 16.8
3128
#47
29.72.9
25.128.0
Auto7.0
Teleop12.7
End9.9
Third
1807
#64
36.30.0
40.740.7
Auto10.3
Teleop16.5
End9.5
red by 23.5
8822
#31
12.83.2
5.58.7
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned73%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
96%Hangar oddsEarned88%Hangar oddsEarned