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Red130
347844.4
642424.9
170651.5
Blue82
603641.3
699819.3
82928.3
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112945015020013082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.51.6
46.948.5
Auto12.3
Teleop32.7
End6.5
red by 10.1
6036
#17
41.30.6
42.642.0
Auto10.6
Teleop24.8
End5.9
Second
44.41.6
33.735.3
Auto10.4
Teleop28.7
End5.3
red by 16.1
829
#43
28.30.6
31.831.3
Auto7.4
Teleop12.1
End8.8
Third
6424
#34
24.91.6
22.023.5
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End4.4
red by 5.6
6998
#71
19.30.6
16.315.7
Auto5.6
Teleop7.3
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
85%Cargo oddsEarned83%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsEarned81%Hangar oddsEarned