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Red113
332234.7
17737.4
288333.4
Blue112
205247.0
521633.1
442128.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113112100120130113112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177
#33
37.40.2
37.637.8
Auto8.8
Teleop18.9
End9.8
blue by 9.6
2052
#14
47.00.5
45.746.2
Auto11.6
Teleop23.5
End11.9
Second
3322
#13
34.70.2
36.236.4
Auto9.5
Teleop18.6
End6.6
red by 1.6
5216
#54
33.10.5
30.631.1
Auto7.4
Teleop18.2
End7.4
Third
2883
#27
33.40.2
31.832.0
Auto8.8
Teleop16.0
End8.6
red by 4.5
4421
#60
28.90.5
28.729.2
Auto8.5
Teleop9.1
End11.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
94%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsEarned96%Hangar oddsEarned