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Red139
30242.0
167872.7
731510.1
Blue68
115616.7
857524.1
48824.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13955010015020013968

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.71.3
75.676.8
Auto16.8
Teleop43.0
End12.9
red by 47.8
488
#56
24.90.2
22.322.2
Auto4.7
Teleop9.1
End11.1
Second
302
#22
42.01.3
33.634.9
Auto8.5
Teleop24.5
End9.0
red by 17.9
8575
#48
24.10.2
22.222.1
Auto6.8
Teleop13.6
End3.8
Third
7315
#62
10.11.3
10.511.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.9
End1.8
blue by 6.6
1156
#69
16.70.2
17.717.5
Auto4.6
Teleop11.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned57%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
80%Hangar oddsEarned64%Hangar oddsEarned