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Red75
492633.7
290512.7
882518.2
Blue108
873915.7
545437.6
702130.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions689705015075108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4926
#30
33.70.0
37.537.4
Auto8.6
Teleop15.6
End9.5
blue by 3.9
5454
#63
37.61.4
37.238.6
Auto9.9
Teleop20.7
End7.1
Second
8825
#72
18.20.0
20.420.4
Auto5.0
Teleop3.7
End9.5
blue by 12.6
7021
#42
30.81.4
37.138.5
Auto10.2
Teleop15.1
End5.5
Third
2905
#65
12.70.0
9.79.7
Auto4.0
Teleop3.7
End5.0
blue by 3.0
8739
#75
15.71.4
12.814.1
Auto3.4
Teleop10.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsEarned88%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
65%Hangar oddsEarned63%Hangar oddsEarned