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Red91
500611.2
452244.4
642028.5
Blue153
581725.3
420146.4
353846.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8712205010015020091153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4522
#20
44.40.3
45.045.4
Auto11.2
Teleop19.6
End13.6
blue by 2.0
4201
#45
46.42.9
46.048.8
Auto13.5
Teleop26.9
End6.0
Second
6420
#25
28.50.3
28.528.8
Auto7.2
Teleop11.4
End10.0
blue by 17.8
3538
#39
46.32.9
50.553.4
Auto10.3
Teleop29.5
End6.6
Third
5006
#58
11.20.3
12.713.0
Auto4.5
Teleop2.4
End4.3
blue by 14.0
5817
#32
25.32.9
13.716.5
Auto6.4
Teleop13.8
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
73%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
89%Hangar oddsEarned80%Hangar oddsEarned