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Red111
761733.3
550533.3
420146.4
Blue122
332234.7
220242.9
153837.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1201260200400600800111122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#45
46.40.4
48.848.4
Auto13.5
Teleop26.9
End6.0
red by 3.5
2202
#40
42.90.5
42.642.2
Auto10.1
Teleop25.1
End7.7
Second
5505
#28
33.30.4
32.732.3
Auto7.5
Teleop13.2
End12.6
blue by 3.8
1538
#10
37.10.5
36.536.0
Auto11.6
Teleop22.3
End3.2
Third
7617
#49
33.30.4
31.631.2
Auto6.6
Teleop20.9
End5.7
blue by 1.4
3322
#13
34.70.5
38.137.6
Auto9.5
Teleop18.6
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
86%Hangar oddsEarned90%Hangar oddsMissed