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Red144
1125.5
421333.8
276751.3
Blue92
500611.2
49448.7
521633.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125925010015020014492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2767
#11
51.31.8
50.352.1
Auto14.4
Teleop24.1
End12.9
red by 2.6
494
#9
48.70.2
46.346.2
Auto11.4
Teleop24.0
End13.4
Second
4213
#24
33.81.8
35.437.2
Auto6.2
Teleop15.6
End12.0
red by 0.8
5216
#54
33.10.2
31.130.9
Auto7.4
Teleop18.2
End7.4
Third
11
#55
25.51.8
27.429.2
Auto6.3
Teleop11.0
End8.2
red by 14.3
5006
#58
11.20.2
13.012.9
Auto4.5
Teleop2.4
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
88%Cargo oddsEarned96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
98%Hangar oddsEarned87%Hangar oddsEarned