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Red119
882212.8
449950.0
225241.0
Blue50
699819.3
882518.2
162523.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111615010015020011950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.01.4
44.646.1
Auto9.0
Teleop30.4
End10.6
red by 26.9
1625
#52
23.10.9
25.224.3
Auto6.9
Teleop11.5
End4.6
Second
41.01.4
42.543.9
Auto12.9
Teleop19.6
End8.5
red by 21.8
6998
#71
19.30.9
18.017.1
Auto5.6
Teleop7.3
End6.3
Third
8822
#31
12.81.4
10.411.8
Auto4.1
Teleop4.6
End4.1
blue by 5.5
8825
#72
18.20.9
20.419.5
Auto5.0
Teleop3.7
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
91%Cargo oddsEarned29%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
73%Hangar oddsEarned92%Hangar oddsMissed