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Red90
642424.9
702130.8
20135.3
Blue64
283913.5
580611.2
545437.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108600501001509064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
201
#51
35.30.4
33.833.4
Auto8.3
Teleop18.4
End8.6
blue by 2.4
5454
#63
37.60.1
38.638.5
Auto9.9
Teleop20.7
End7.1
Second
7021
#42
30.80.4
36.636.3
Auto10.2
Teleop15.1
End5.5
red by 17.3
2839
#57
13.50.1
15.115.0
Auto3.4
Teleop3.8
End6.3
Third
6424
#34
24.90.4
25.224.8
Auto7.8
Teleop12.7
End4.4
red by 13.7
5806
#73
11.20.1
8.58.3
Auto4.8
Teleop2.3
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
92%Cargo oddsEarned45%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
60%Hangar oddsEarned66%Hangar oddsMissed